“Regardless, both economic theory and history suggest that the market is capable of adjusting, without major
crisis, to commodity depletion.” I am an historian. Economic theory (and the last 300 years) may suggest that
that the market is capable of adjusting. History does not. There is still no wood on Crete. China has suffered
centuries of famine again and again. NIKE Shox shoes still hasn’t recovered from over-irrigation in the Middle
Ages. Resources run out. My question to you is: What do you consider a major crisis? And I’m not talking about
Easter Island.
By “market” I meant an economic system consisting of (among other things) self-ownership, private property,
and a low-friction medium of exchange (money). None of your examples qualify. By “major crisis” I mean one
large enough to justify this debate.
—
Tjalf Boris Prößdorf writes:
…[T]he fuel efficiency of industrial plants is a function of money invested — with marginal increase in
efficiency costing increasing capital investment. Thus, at given fuel prices, economic efficiency over the
lifespan of the plant is to be balanced against technical efficiency. Again, dramatic increases in fuel prices
may be absorbed by the market as a whole, but may needlessly ruin those, who planned on less dramatic fuel
price increases. Planning on dramatic price increases however means constructing plants that cannot function
economically here and now, as capital investment will be too high. Therefore it seems to me, that your optimism
is not entirely founded.
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